Data Science Insights and Statistical Analysis

Articles on statistics, machine learning, financial data science, and the Nigerian data ecosystem. Published twice monthly, written for practitioners not beginners.

14 May 2025
Bayesian Statistics

Why Bayesian Inference Belongs in Every Applied Statistician's Toolkit

Frequentist methods dominate statistical education but Bayesian inference offers structural advantages for small-sample problems, hierarchical data, and updating beliefs with new evidence. This article explains when and why to switch frameworks.

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28 April 2025
Machine Learning

SHAP Values: Explaining Machine Learning Predictions Without Simplifying Them

Black-box ML models are increasingly required to provide interpretable outputs for regulatory and ethical compliance. This article covers SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) values with a worked XGBoost example on credit scoring data.

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10 April 2025
Financial Analytics

Asset-Liability Management for NBFCs: A Practitioner's Guide to Gap Analysis

A practical walkthrough of ALM gap analysis methodology for non-banking financial companies. Covers maturity bucket construction, net interest income sensitivity, and the regulatory implications of a negative repricing gap under RBI guidelines.

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22 March 2025
Causal Inference

Correlation is Not Causation: How to Actually Test for Causal Effects in Observational Data

The phrase "correlation is not causation" is repeated everywhere but rarely followed up with concrete methods. This article introduces propensity score matching, instrumental variables, and difference-in-differences for estimating causal effects in observational data.

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5 March 2025
Nigerian Data Market

The State of Data Science Hiring in Nigeria in 2025: What Employers Actually Want

An analysis of 340 data science job postings from Nigerian companies and multinational subsidiaries operating in Nigeria. Python, SQL, and Power BI appear in 89% of listings. Bayesian statistics and causal inference are present in under 12%.

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14 February 2025
Survival Analysis

Weibull Regression vs Cox Proportional Hazards: When to Use Each

Both Weibull regression and Cox proportional hazards models are used for time-to-event data, but they make different assumptions and answer slightly different questions. This article covers model selection, interpretation, and the test for the proportional hazards assumption.

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